Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.358202 3.561825 3.778084 4.026024 4.303900 4.607476 4.966639
2024-10-20 3.003560 3.265129 3.555581 3.905484 4.320412 4.803188 5.417425
2024-10-27 2.714457 3.004789 3.338105 3.755374 4.273294 4.908933 5.772078
2024-11-03 2.594841 2.926379 3.320482 3.834732 4.506531 5.384298 6.676831
2024-11-10 2.516652 2.889008 3.346798 3.969460 4.827447 6.028218 7.973165
2024-11-17 2.360060 2.741729 3.221852 3.894144 4.857071 6.276970 8.762153
2024-11-24 2.213317 2.596171 3.086894 3.790899 4.833297 6.443620 9.476090
2024-12-01 2.102347 2.489176 2.994172 3.736393 4.873369 6.718748 10.492471
2024-12-08 2.009055 2.399265 2.917411 3.696568 4.930093 7.034203 11.735271
2024-12-15 1.959517 2.364309 2.912970 3.761578 5.162314 7.714097 14.188130
2024-12-22 1.849978 2.241574 2.776866 3.614627 5.022429 7.663150 14.781839
2024-12-29 1.801578 2.200356 2.754300 3.641161 5.184719 8.256854 17.709853
2025-01-05 1.712906 2.106691 2.661524 3.568107 5.197853 8.631841 20.800516
2025-01-12 1.628408 2.014748 2.565789 3.482366 5.178437 8.947173 24.413662
2025-01-19 1.543916 1.918772 2.458385 3.368246 5.090204 9.083927 27.780000
2025-01-26 1.511764 1.896453 2.461075 3.441217 5.390241 10.382257 44.168793
2025-02-02 1.491200 1.889701 2.487159 3.558716 5.816162 12.374389 101.991447
2025-02-09 1.434983 1.826938 2.420391 3.501272 5.843264 13.110559 197.161823
2025-02-16 1.378171 1.760681 2.344098 3.419099 5.799168 13.585861 488.558725
2025-02-23 1.333382 1.710636 2.291220 3.376428 5.845156 14.504145 NaN
2025-03-02 1.294056 1.667157 2.246531 3.345293 5.915938 15.644443 NaN
2025-03-09 1.273371 1.651286 2.246483 3.401659 6.231413 18.486746 NaN
2025-03-16 1.222784 1.586925 2.161399 3.279477 6.033921 18.175189 NaN